FirstMoveFRI 31 JUL 2026
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First Move  ·  Ukraine–Russia  · 
From the front — Friday morning, 31 July

Russian Missile Enters Polish Airspace During Deadly Ukraine Barrage, NATO Scrambles Jets

A Russian missile crossed into Poland during overnight strikes that killed at least 10 civilians in Ukraine, escalating regional tensions as aerial attacks persist.

EDITION 2026-07-31 · EVERY CLAIM SOURCED · GROUNDED VIA SEARCH AT PUBLISH
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The day on the war

Russia launched a significant ballistic missile and drone barrage across Ukraine overnight into Thursday, July 31, killing at least 10 civilians, including children, and injuring over 50, according to officials. During the assault, a Russian missile reportedly entered Polish airspace, prompting NATO to scramble its warplanes.

French President Emmanuel Macron condemned the airspace violation, while Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk described it as "a very serious incident" but noted there was no indication Poland was specifically targeted. Separately, sources indicate Russia likely used a North Korean missile in a deadly strike near Kryvyi Rih, which killed a family.

This marks the first suspected use of such a weapon in nearly a year, suggesting Russia may have received fresh supplies. Ukrainian air defenses reported shooting down 195 out of 255 enemy drones overnight. The continued heavy aerial bombardment underscores Ukraine's critical need for more advanced air defense systems.

Along the front

General Frontline

Development: 269 combat engagements occurred across the front lines over the past 24 hours, with Ukrainian troops maintaining their positions.

Source: UA General Staff

Pokrovsk Sector

Development: The fiercest battles are ongoing in the Pokrovsk sector.

Source: UA General Staff

Multiple Targets

Development: Ukrainian Rocket Forces and artillery units struck four drone command posts, three areas of personnel concentration, seven command posts, and another key Russian facility.

Source: UA General Staff

Strikes & the grid

LocationWhatToll
Across UkraineRussian ballistic missiles and dronesAt least 10 civilians killed, over 50 injured.
Kryvyi Rih areaSuspected North Korean missile strikeA family killed.
Polish airspaceA Russian missile entered Polish airspace during the overnight attacks.No injuries or damage reported in Poland.
Ukraine-wideUkrainian air defenses intercepted 195 out of 255 enemy Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and other types of UAVs.22 attack UAV hits recorded at 14 locations, debris fell at four locations.
Sumy regionA Russian drone strikeStruck a community.
Near DniproA Russian drone attackStruck a Nova Poshta terminal.

What we'll be watching next 72h

Reporting + analyst voices: grounded via Google Search at publish time.