First Move  ·  Ukraine–Russia  · 
From the front — Saturday morning, 04 July

Russian-installed officials order document evacuation in Crimea amid heightened concerns

Crimean occupation authorities initiated an evacuation of valuable documents from Kerch and Feodosia by July 4, as NATO allies prepare to pledge €70 billion in military aid to Ukraine next week.

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The day on the war

Russian-installed occupation authorities in Crimea have reportedly ordered the evacuation of valuable documents and equipment from municipal administrations in Kerch and Feodosia by July 4. The Crimea-based Ukrainian partisan group Atesh reported that some officials have already relocated to Russia's Krasnodar Krai.

This move suggests heightened concerns within the occupation administration, potentially linked to Ukraine's ongoing long-range strike campaign against Russian military and logistical targets, including in occupied Crimea. Meanwhile, on the front lines, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) noted on July 3 that Russian forces in the Pokrovsk direction are increasingly relying on newly modified BM-35 strike drones, with 70 to 80 percent of their strikes in the area now conducted by drones. These developments underscore a dynamic of continued long-range pressure from Ukraine and an adaptation in Russian tactical operations.

Along the front

Pokrovsk direction

Development: Russian forces are using newly modified BM-35 strike drones and occasionally Starlink technology, with 70-80% of strikes conducted by drones.

Source: ISW, UA 7th Rapid Reaction Corps Commander

Kherson direction

Development: Neither Russian nor Ukrainian sources reported ground activity on July 3.

Source: ISW

Strikes & the grid

Pokrovsk direction

What: Russian forces conducted 70-80% of strikes with newly modified BM-35 strike drones and 20-30% with artillery.

Toll: Reported by Ukrainian 7th Rapid Reaction Corps Commander Brigadier General Yevhen Lasiychuk

Diplomacy & talks

NATO Summit (Ankara). NATO's European members and Canada will pledge €70 billion ($80 billion) in military aid to Ukraine for this year and next at the alliance's summit in Ankara next week.

Aid & sanctions

United States (Senate)

Measure: Legislation introduced (SABER Act)

Detail: A bipartisan group of senators introduced the Seized Assets for Battlefield Equipment and Readiness (SABER) Act on June 18, which would allow frozen Russian assets under U.S. control to be used for purchasing military equipment for Ukraine.

Ukraine and United Kingdom

Measure: Discussion on financing defense

Detail: Ukraine's Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov and UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves discussed financing Ukraine's defense using proceeds from frozen Russian assets, urging swift unblocking under the ERA program.

What we'll be watching next 72h

Reporting + analyst voices: grounded via Google Search at publish time.