First Move  ·  Statecraft  · 
From the capitals — Sunday morning, 12 July

Iran's IRGC Claims Ballistic Missile Strike on Jordanian Airbase

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced a ballistic missile attack on Jordan's Al Azraq Airbase, while diplomatic efforts continue with US-Iran talks expected next week.

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The conversation that mattered

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced today it launched ballistic missiles at Jordan's Al Azraq Airbase. The IRGC stated this attack was the second phase of retaliation against recent U.S. military actions, claiming ten ballistic missiles struck the base and destroyed the site.

This move signals a significant escalation in regional tensions, with the IRGC warning of further attacks on American-linked assets if U.S. military action continues. Separately, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi spoke with Pakistan's army chief, condemning U.S. attacks on Iran as a violation of the Islamabad interim agreement and cautioning against any further U.S. military "adventurism." The international community continues to watch for responses, with a new round of U.S.-Iran talks anticipated next week, potentially in Switzerland.

Today's meetings

President Donald Trump

Actor Two: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

Venue Or Format: phone call

What Was Discussed: The leaders discussed the situation in the Gulf and continued coordination between the countries in various sectors.

Signal: Highlights ongoing US-Israel strategic alignment amidst regional volatility.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi

Actor Two: Pakistan's army chief

Venue Or Format: phone call

What Was Discussed: Araghchi warned against further U.S. military "adventurism" and condemned U.S. attacks on Iran as a violation of the Islamabad interim agreement.

Signal: Indicates Iran's diplomatic outreach to regional partners following military actions.

Joint statements + readouts

Saudi Arabia

Topic: Iranian attacks on Gulf states

Key Line: Saudi Arabia has strongly condemned what it described as repeated Iranian attacks on Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan, accusing Tehran of violating the sovereignty of neighbouring states and threatening regional stability.

Bilateral threads worth following

US ↔ Israel

Current State: Maintaining close coordination on regional security, particularly in the Gulf.

Last Move: President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu held a phone call on July 12 to discuss Gulf developments.

Iran ↔ Pakistan

Current State: Engaging on regional security concerns following recent U.S. actions.

Last Move: Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi spoke with Pakistan's army chief on July 12.

Saudi Arabia ↔ Iran

Current State: Marked by heightened tensions and Saudi condemnation of Iranian actions.

Last Move: Saudi Arabia condemned Iranian attacks on Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan on July 12.

What we'll be watching next 72h

Reporting + analyst voices: grounded via Google Search at publish time.