First Move  ·  Statecraft  · 
From the capitals — Tuesday morning, 07 July

Trump meets Erdogan as NATO Summit opens in Ankara amid alliance tensions

US President Trump held talks with Turkish President Erdogan at the NATO Summit in Ankara, with further bilateral meetings scheduled for tomorrow.

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The conversation that mattered

The NATO Summit in Ankara, Türkiye, commenced today, July 7, bringing together leaders from the alliance's 32 member states. US President Donald Trump arrived in Ankara and held a bilateral meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Discussions between the two leaders are expected to cover Türkiye-US relations across defense, trade, and investment, aiming to deepen existing cooperation. The summit itself is taking place amid ongoing tensions within NATO regarding defense spending and burden-sharing, with Trump having previously accused members of insufficient support.

Trump is also scheduled to hold bilateral meetings with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa on Wednesday. European nations are expected to announce billions in new military contracts in response to Trump's pressure on defense spending. The summit is slated to conclude on July 8.

Today's meetings

Actor OneActor TwoVenue Or FormatWhat Was DiscussedSignal
US President Donald TrumpTurkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoganAnkara, Türkiye (NATO Summit sidelines)Bilateral relations including defense, trade, and investment.Signals efforts to deepen cooperation despite broader alliance tensions.
Canadian Prime MinisterTurkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoğanAnkara, Türkiye (NATO Summit sidelines)Meeting held.Indicates continued engagement on NATO agenda.
Canadian Prime MinisterUkrainian President Volodymyr ZelenskyyAnkara, Türkiye (NATO Summit sidelines)Meeting held.Reinforces support for Ukraine within the NATO context.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr ZelenskyyDutch Prime Minister Mark RutteAnkara, Türkiye (NATO Summit sidelines)Expected to issue a brief joint statement.Highlights ongoing European support for Ukraine.
Romanian President Nicusor DanVarious counterpartsAnkara, Türkiye (NATO Summit sidelines)Series of bilateral meetings.Underscores Romania's active role in Euro-Atlantic security.

Joint statements + readouts

United Kingdom, Netherlands, Finland, Poland

Topic: Defence Financing

Key Line: We reiterate our shared commitment to strengthen defence financing and improve the cost-efficiency of defence spending to transform our collective defence capabilities.

Multilateral pulse

NATO Summit. Leaders from 32 member states opened a two-day summit in Ankara, Türkiye, to address defense spending, transatlantic relations, and support for Ukraine.

NATO Security and Defence Industry Forum. Taking place on July 7 on the margins of the NATO Summit, with the Canadian Prime Minister participating in a panel discussion on defence capability.

Bilateral threads worth following

US ↔ China

Current State: Relations remain volatile, with both sides seeking stability amidst differences.

Last Move: Chinese President Xi Jinping sent a congratulatory message to US President Trump on July 4, marking the 250th anniversary of US independence.

US ↔ Iran

Current State: Negotiations are ongoing following a memorandum of understanding aimed at resolving regional conflicts.

Last Move: Negotiations are reportedly set to resume on July 11, focusing on US sanctions, Iranian frozen assets, and nuclear talks, with Pakistan hosting.

US ↔ Israel

Current State: Leaders are in communication, with an upcoming meeting planned amid recent tensions.

Last Move: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump spoke by phone on July 3-4 and agreed to meet in the US soon.

What we'll be watching next 72h

Reporting + analyst voices: grounded via Google Search at publish time.