First Move  ·  Statecraft  · 
From the capitals — Saturday morning, 13 June

US, Iran Advance Peace Deal Negotiations Amid Strait of Hormuz Drone Incident

US and Iran report significant progress on a peace deal, even as US forces down Iranian drones near the Strait of Hormuz, with the G7 Summit approaching.

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Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions between the United States and Iran saw significant movement today, with both sides indicating progress on a potential peace deal. A senior Trump administration official stated that negotiations are 80-85% complete, with expectations for an agreement to be signed within days to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The official detailed that the deal would dismantle Iran's nuclear program, eliminate enriched uranium, and tie sanctions relief to compliance, while allowing Iran civilian nuclear energy.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also confirmed that a proposed memorandum of understanding with the US would formally end hostilities across multiple fronts and could be signed "soon," laying groundwork for broader settlements on nuclear issues and regional security. Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif added that the US and Iran had agreed on the "final text" of a peace deal. However, complicating these diplomatic advancements, US Central Command (CENTCOM) reported that US forces early on June 13 shot down multiple Iranian attack drones near the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran had launched "in an attempt to strike commercial ships." The upcoming G7 Summit in Evian, France, from June 15-17, will likely see further discussions on regional stability and the Middle East.

Today's meetings

Prime Minister Mark Carney (Canada)

Actor Two: President Emmanuel Macron (France)

Venue Or Format: bilateral visit to France

What Was Discussed: Deepening bilateral trade, defence, and collaboration on emerging technologies like AI and quantum, alongside the signing of a new General Security of Information Agreement (GSOIA).

Signal: Strengthens Canada-France ties and cooperation ahead of the G7 Summit.

Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar (India)

Actor Two: Secretary of State Marco Rubio (US)

Venue Or Format: phone call

What Was Discussed: India lodged a "strong protest" regarding US strikes that hit three mainly Indian-crewed merchant ships off the coast of Oman, killing three sailors.

Signal: Highlights diplomatic friction between India and the US despite ongoing regional mediation efforts.

Joint statements + readouts

Canada and France

Topic: Defence, trade, and technology cooperation

Key Line: They underscored the signing of a new General Security of Information Agreement (GSOIA) between Canada and France. This agreement will help unlock procurement contracts, strengthen defence and industrial cooperation, create new opportunities for Canadian workers and companies, and deliver benefits to Canada's economy.

Multilateral pulse

EU Foreign Ministers. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas stated that violence in the occupied West Bank and the rapid expansion of Israeli settlements are "very high on the agenda" for EU foreign ministers.

G7 Summit preparations. EU Presidents Ursula von der Leyen and António Costa will participate in the G7 Summit in Evian, France, from June 15-17, with working sessions planned on peace and security for Ukraine, Middle East stability, and new partnerships.

Bilateral threads worth following

US ↔ Iran

Current State: Negotiations for a peace deal are significantly advanced, aiming to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Last Move: US officials and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed substantial progress on June 13, 2026, though US forces also reported downing Iranian drones near the Strait of Hormuz.

Pakistan ↔ US/Iran

Current State: Pakistan is actively mediating between the US and Iran to finalize a peace deal.

Last Move: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated on June 13, 2026, that the US and Iran had agreed on the "final text" of a peace deal aimed at ending the war.

India ↔ France

Current State: The two nations are strengthening their Special Global Strategic Partnership with high-level visits.

Last Move: Prime Minister Narendra Modi began an official visit to France on June 13, 2026, with a bilateral meeting with President Emmanuel Macron scheduled for June 14 in Nice.

What we'll be watching next 72h

Reporting + analyst voices: grounded via Google Search at publish time.