Indian Equities Surge Over 1% on Friday's Open as US-Iran Deal Hopes Drive Crude Prices Down
The strong opening follows a period of FII selling and geopolitical concerns, with global cues and easing crude oil prices now boosting sentiment.
The story
Indian equity markets opened sharply higher on Friday, June 12, with the Sensex zooming 968 points, or 1.31%, to 74,800.22 and the Nifty50 gaining 276 points, or 1.19%, to 23,437.60 at 9:16 AM. This rally was largely fueled by hopes of a potential US-Iran peace deal, which led to Brent crude oil prices slipping below $90 per barrel. Global sentiment remains supportive, and easing geopolitical concerns are improving risk appetite across international markets.
This positive start contrasts with recent sessions. On June 11, the Nifty ended mildly negative at 23,161.60, down 53.35 points (0.23%), while the Bank Nifty managed a marginal gain, closing at 55,176.75, up 76.45 points (0.14%). Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continued their selling streak for the 12th consecutive trading session, offloading equities worth ₹1,987 crore on June 11, though the pace of selling had moderated. Earlier in the week, on June 8, both Sensex and Nifty crashed over 1%, with Sensex plummeting 719 points to 73,524 and Nifty 50 tumbling 244 points to 23,123. This decline was primarily driven by a sharp sell-off in global markets, persistent FII outflows, and escalating Middle East tensions that had pushed Brent crude prices to $96.5 per barrel. The Indian Rupee also opened lower at 95.31 per US dollar on June 8.
The tape
| Instrument | Last | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 23,161.60 | -53.35 (0.23%) |
| Sensex | 73,832.55 | -150.63 (0.20%) |
| Bank Nifty | 55,176.75 | +76.45 (0.14%) |
| USD/INR | 95.6725 | slipped 0.43% |
| India 10Y yield | 6.9430% | Steady |
| India VIX | 15.61 | Stable |
Flows & data
FII Net Flows
Reading: -₹1,987.09 crore (June 11, 2026)
Read: Foreign Institutional Investors remained net sellers for the 12th consecutive session.
DII Net Flows
Reading: +₹4,224.51 crore (June 11, 2026)
Read: Domestic Institutional Investors provided strong buying support.
FY27 GDP Growth Forecast (RBI)
Reading: 6.6% (June 5, 2026)
Read: The RBI revised its GDP growth estimate downwards from an earlier 6.9%.
FY27 Inflation Forecast (RBI)
Reading: 5.1% (June 5, 2026)
Read: The RBI sharply raised its inflation projections from an earlier 4.6%, reflecting concerns over geopolitical tensions and crude oil volatility.
IPOs & the primary market
The primary market has seen some notable activity this week. CMR Green Technologies, a mainboard IPO, listed on June 9, 2026, at ₹268.0 against an offer price of ₹182-192, marking a strong 39.58% gain. Vahh Chemicals, an SME IPO, listed on June 10, 2026, at ₹70.0 compared to its ₹60 offer price, a 16.67% increase. Hexagon Nutrition, another mainboard IPO with a subscription of 52.52 times, and Genxai Analytics (SME, 15.79x subscription) both listed on June 11, 2026.
Currently, several SME IPOs are open for subscription, including Utkal Speciality Industries (June 9-12, 2026), Susan Electricals India (June 10-15, 2026), and Horizon Reclaim (India) (June 11-16, 2026).
Valuation watch — India & global
Indian markets continue to navigate a complex global valuation landscape. Persistent Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) outflows, partly attributed to a global tech correction and the return of AI trade to other Asian markets, remain a key concern.
The Reserve Bank of India's recent decision to lower its FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.6% and raise its FY27 inflation projection to 5.1% signals a cautious macro outlook, influenced by external risks and commodity price volatility. Global markets are delicately balanced between optimism for AI-led growth and the risks posed by oil shocks linked to geopolitical tensions.
Higher US bond yields and concerns over delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts also contribute to volatility. While no explicit 'bubble' warnings were sounded, the high oversubscription rates seen in some recent IPOs, such as Hexagon Nutrition at 52.52 times, highlight pockets of strong investor demand in the primary market.
Monsoon watch
The southwest monsoon has advanced into parts of Maharashtra, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana as of June 8, 2026, bringing hopes for an early boost to kharif sowing. Conditions are favorable for its further progression into additional regions, including remaining parts of Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, and several northeastern states over the next few days. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned of intense rainfall in southern India, with isolated extremely heavy rainfall expected over Karnataka and Kerala on June 8-9, and heavy rain in other southern and northeastern states.
However, there are concerns as India is projected to receive below-average rainfall over the next two weeks, particularly in central and northern regions, due to 'western disturbances' slowing the monsoon's progress. Heatwave conditions are also expected to persist in isolated pockets of northwest India, including Delhi-NCR, until June 11. A favorable monsoon is crucial for boosting rural demand, consumption, and overall economic growth.
What we'll be watching
- Tracking the continued progress and spatial distribution of the southwest monsoon across India.
- Horizon Reclaim (India) SME IPO closing on June 16, 2026.
- Susan Electricals India SME IPO closing on June 15, 2026.
- Liotech Industries SME IPO opening on June 17, 2026.
- Leapfrog Engineering Services SME IPO opening on June 17, 2026.
Reporting + analyst voices: grounded via Google Search at publish time.